Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 24.144788 27.914388 31.994541 36.728367 42.058338 47.862619 54.650145
2025-01-19 16.598523 21.524263 27.386009 34.824750 43.957090 54.743025 68.380576
2025-01-26 13.869346 19.651522 27.047012 37.078419 50.191399 66.596944 88.497685
2025-02-02 12.449381 18.966080 27.801581 40.437027 57.782637 80.464093 112.012546
2025-02-09 10.585619 17.257143 26.803712 41.129277 61.677628 89.618466 129.903690
2025-02-16 8.956170 15.560345 25.496677 41.080030 64.338199 97.088586 145.832687
2025-02-23 7.577130 13.989773 24.106929 40.641508 66.240060 103.453670 160.454090
2025-03-02 6.492588 12.701658 22.946113 40.343971 68.202968 109.896962 175.439370
2025-03-09 5.593221 11.572407 21.870232 40.006682 69.981404 116.069422 190.273546
2025-03-16 4.520326 9.943746 19.729439 37.649102 68.275263 116.719572 196.687599
2025-03-23 4.146586 9.571151 19.719889 38.870441 72.447377 126.710148 217.976189
2025-03-30 3.882372 9.370631 19.986999 40.576451 77.521544 138.390351 242.497294
2025-04-06 3.272075 8.386791 18.731065 39.532092 78.005047 142.999889 256.596092
2025-04-13 2.664073 7.295345 17.127355 37.683547 76.950739 145.066656 266.851069
2025-04-20 2.545144 7.298074 17.731567 40.132930 83.869171 161.097682 301.282134
2025-04-27 2.528857 7.543247 18.868509 43.736487 93.185568 181.805580 344.704408
2025-05-04 2.282541 7.167354 18.613135 44.478907 97.124059 193.257773 372.790382
2025-05-11 2.011367 6.669187 18.012845 44.426483 99.495052 202.007128 396.572770
2025-05-18 1.750708 6.140582 17.262556 43.957162 100.972805 209.167712 417.845146
2025-05-25 1.533628 5.685537 16.618162 43.638674 102.703426 216.857129 440.407242
2025-06-01 1.342813 5.263049 15.989492 43.277602 104.295125 224.340541 462.920301
2025-06-08 1.082474 4.550988 14.506593 40.752986 101.091861 222.397744 467.818716
2025-06-15 1.012220 4.451331 14.626845 42.061030 106.231429 236.982389 504.439330